iwatch rolex 2

KGI Securities’ Ming-Chi Kuo has made a name for himself as one of the more credible — if not the most credible — analysts covering Apple.

And unlike many other ”analysts“ who base their armchair predictions on the combination of the generally inaccurate rumor-mill reporting, hearsay and the Internet echo chamber, Kuo actually does research and puts some thought into notes he issues to clients.

But even renowned analysts like Kuo — and trusted he is — have had their share of misses. Today, Kuo backpedalled on his earlier claim that Apple was working to released an iWatch at some point this year. Ask him again and he’ll now tell you he no longer sees the mythical wearable released in 2014 due to the complexities involved in hardware and software engineering…

According to Kuo’s note obtained by MacRumors:

We reiterate our view that iWatch, as compared to existing products, and as Apple’s (US) first attempt at a wearable device, represents a much higher level of difficulty for the company as regards component and system design, manufacturing and integration between hardware and software.

While we are positive on iWatch and believe that the advantages of the design and business model behind it are difficult to copy, we think, given the aforementioned challenges, that the launch could be postponed to 2015.

I find nothing unusual about Kuo’s newly-found pessimism regarding the iWatch. If the device were to be released in 2014, we would have by now seen a plethora of parts leaking out of China. The number of iWatch components leaked thus far: zero.

iWAtch C (three-up, Martin Hajek 001)

Skeptics might argue that even Apple itself doesn’t know when the iWatch will hit because the company has no internal deadlines.

Enter Mark Kawano, the CEO of Storehouse and former user experience evangelist at Apple, who explains why this is a preposterous proposition to begin with, via DaringFireball:

Not only does the company set internal deadlines, it also creates deadlines for deadlines that have their own deadlines. Every aspect of the company’s production cycle, from conception to ship date, is calculated. But — and this is a big “but” — what makes Apple different is that it is a company that is willing to move those deadlines.

If a product in development isn’t ready to be released, the deadline is pushed back. If an idea isn’t perfect, or isn’t considered truly magical and delightful internally, it’s held back, revised, and the product given an entirely new launch date.

Of course, it’s entirely possible that Tim Cook & Co. are keeping iWatch development under tight wraps to prevent leaks from occurring.

However, history has taught us that this is easier said than done. You’l recall that past two iPhone generations virtually leaked entirely.

And this year, it almost feels as if someone could assemble a fully working iPhone 6 prototype from all of the claimed parts floating around.

  • Tony Trenkle Jr.

    We need a trusted analyst to tell us this? I could’ve told you this…

  • Virus

    Tim Cook Promises New Products in 2014 yet again more lies been 8 months and not even 1 new product yet Apple probably one of the biggest electronic companies #Slacking

    • I’m still holding out for an “and one more thing”. Like many others I find it difficult to believe that Apple has new products waiting to show the world due to lack of evidence and rumours there is a small part within me that thinks otherwise.

      • Jeffrey Feuerstein

        I think that it was Apple’s plan to anounce and release most of the products listed below if possible:
        Several iWatch models
        iPhone 6 in 2 screen sizes
        Macbook air 12 inch with retina display
        iMac with retina display
        New iPod series
        New iPad Air and iPad Mini series

        And possibly planned for 2015:
        iPad Pro

        BUT I think Tim overestimated these jobs (pun intended) which is why he promised us a lot of new awesome stuff in 2014, which will now be shoved forward to 2015 and 2016…

        And who knows? Maybe if Apple released all this stuff the rumors of an electric self driving carplay driven iCar will begin floating around for 2018;)

    • iBanks

      We are still in 2014. He also said “in the coming months.” This was in June.

  • Eikast

    Hopefully that means that they’re trying to do something amazing with their iWatch. Hopefully it’s like the Pebble (waterproof) and allows you to go swimming with it or shower with it on. I also hope that the battery last at least 2-3 days.

    • Jamessmooth

      Seriously doubt Apple will release something that you can’t at least wear in the shower. 2-3 days battery is a must.

  • William Melendez

    To be honest, I never seen it coming this year.

  • Mark Babatunde

    Christian, I think you meant “You’ll,” not “You’l” in You’l recall that past two iPhone generations virtually leaked entirely

  • Rares

    I don’t understand this hype about iwatch at all. Why would anyone want a 2 inch ,or whatever, watch?

    • Yujin

      Is not the screen size, the ram or the look. Apple won’t give us a notification watch, but a truly medical breakthrough if the rumors are true. Rather wait and iron out any issues before you put your health at risk. That is a BIG liability for apple if the iWatch doesn’t delivered as promised.

      • Jeffrey Feuerstein

        You only say that because you don’t want to give in on the fact that you only want it because of the design, notifications and looks you’ll get on the street. Just be fair man, neither one of us gives a sh*t about health, we only buy it because of the design and the brand.

      • Rares

        And no one will ever take serious those health stats against the real ones in hospitals.

      • Jeffrey Feuerstein

        True, BUT, (not saying I’m super happy that the iWatch will feature several health meters) I do think that the iWatch would/could detect some deseases or ‘errors’ in your body before you consider going to the doctor. Examples: high/low blood pressure, a heart attack, the flu (as some of Apple’s patents indicate) and diabetes.

        Still, these health meters won’t be any of the reasons I will buy it, it’s just a nice extra.

  • SkyFall

    Guys I’m an analyst but I kept it secret cause I hate publicity. I expect to see at September 9 an iPhone 6 with 32, 64, 128 GB, a 2k res or a res of 828×1472. The iWatch will be announced in the September 9 event or in the October event along with the new iPads. And will be release to the public in March 2015 (so Apple can cover the low period).

  • Yujin

    Better to hold off than to give us android wear like devices aka crap.

  • Brian 

    How are people suppose to know what parts are for the iWatch if it has never been introduced and nobody knows what it looks like. They could easily be getting manufactured right now and nobody even knows it’s the iWatch.

  • Bob S.

    “Trusted Analyst”? A “credible” analyst? Are you kidding? Maybe according to him. Look at his track record. The only thing he can be trusted with is making stuff up and being wrong about it 99% of the time. Go to MacWorld and look up the Macalope articles with his name in them…

  • jack

    Watches are dead. You always end up having to pull the phone out of your pocket anyways