ChangeWave destroys all blabbering of supposedly weak iPhone 5 demand

By , Jan 15, 2013

iphone5-demand-chart

If you’ve been watching Apple’s stock price rise and fall as analysts debate whether it’s the end of the world or simply a bad day for the iPhone 5, you’re forgiven for feeling like a a yo-yo. However, to add to your confusion comes another set of charts illustrating everything’s fine with iPhone 5 demand.

Indeed, according to a new ChangeWave survey based on a poll of 4,061 consumers in North America, demand for Apple’s handset is as strong as ever. Specifically, 50 percent of respondents said they are planning to buy the iPhone 5 in the next 90 days, which jives well with Apple’s previous iPhone launches. In fact, the iPhone 5 interest was higher than the iPhone 4S peak.

A series of charts also prove that iPhone interest, though flattening six months following the launch, remains high and even above rival Samsung. It all comes down to whether your cup is half-empty or half full…

The ChangeWave report is telling on many levels.

Not only was iPhone 5 demand at 50 percent in December, but the percentage of people who said they would buy the smartphone at its September 2012 release was at 71 percent – higher than the iPhone 4S, iPhone 4, iPhone 3GS or iPhone 3G.

What about the much-discussed explosion of demand for the Samsung Galaxy – its obviously affecting iPhone 5 demand, right?

Well, if you turn to consumers and ask their spending plans, you get a different story.

samsung_future_buyers

At the same time observers were forecasting the sky was falling, demand for the Samsung Galaxy S III was at 21 percent, less than half of an iPhone 5 supposedly on its death bed. Also, when the Galaxy S III was introduced in June of 2012, just 19 percent of consumers polled were interested in buying the smartphone.

But wait, Android is vastly more popular and is set to pass iOS any day now.

Eh, maybe not, according to ChangeWave’s charts.

mobile_os_satisfaction-1

While nearly three out of four Apple customers said they were Very Satisfied with iOS, finding that level of satisfaction among Android users is about equal to flipping a coin.

Take these charts along with a report earlier today by well-connected Apple watcher Shaw Wu and you begin to question the Wall Street Journal article that precipitated Apple’s Wall Street swan dive. As he’s reported earlier and reiterated today, Wu proposed that the decline in orders for iPhone 5 parts was an indication of improved supplier performance.

As a “result of improved yields,” Apple has had to order fewer components, Wu told investors. That supposed 50 percent reduction in supply orders is actually much smaller, the hardware hawks at NPD DisplaySearch told the New York Times.

It could be also a sign of Apple’s wide-scale adoption of Sharp’s IGZO panels across the family of iOS devices, according to John Paczkowsk of AllThingsD.

iphone_5_box_header

Which scenario should be believed?

AAPL stock at 1pm Eastern was off more than 13 points at $488 after opening Tuesday morning at $498. As one analyst described an earlier punishment of Apple stock over rumors of a demand downturn: this is “insanely insane.”

There is also another explanation here, per John Grubber who writes that “billions of dollars at stake if AAPL stays near or under $500 a share until January 19 and then makes a run after that”.

Yeah, good ol’ stock manipulation ahead of Apple’s impending earnings call.

Here’s Jim Cramer explaining how the stock market is being manipulated.

Billions are at stake here, people.

Worse, it’s legal.

This happens every time ahead of Apple’s earnings, just like clockwork.

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  • Irfan Tarique

    why the iPhone isnt interesting anymore to me is simply because there is no jailbreak.

    • http://www.facebook.com/joe.jonsen Joe Jonsen

      i agree 100000% I am still happy with my 4S cause its jailbroken..

      • http://twitter.com/S_Lacertosa Stefano

        Yes and no; put iPhone on paper agains another device. I choose iPhone for simplicity. I WANT simplicity over a roadmap of a phone trying to figure stuff out as well as a non traditional keyboard (eww). . . My sister has the new Note, it’s fun with mystery but seriously!?, I want to kick inanimate objects trying to figure it out. Mystery and curiosity can only get some people so far

    • Kurt

      so a non-jailbroken iphone is pretty much crap? i agree.

  • chjode

    And yet iDB bought right into the rumor mongering and perpetuated it. Gotta get those page clicks, accuracy be damned!

    • http://www.idownloadblog.com/author/dujkan Christian Zibreg

      Gotta objectively report on what’s making rounds and let you readers decided for yourself.

      • jilex

        and then you post a lot about the same thing, calling some readers doomsayers, and trying to put a reason as for why is this happening, yeah, you are great

      • chjode

        Journalistic integrity at its finest. “It’s not my problem; I just report the (grossly inaccurate) stories as fact in order to drum up page views.” If iDB wants to be more than yet another cacophonous blog, how about a bit of perspective and depth? Asking who/what/why/when/how goes a long way to rising above blog spam.

        Next up at iDB: Check out how awesome this Samsung thing is, guys!

      • Guest

        they are bloggers lol …not journalists, give them a break :-D

  • Azzras

    Get a Lumia 920. Best phone out there.

    • Kurt

      i would give my 4S and any amount of money for a lumia 920!

  • Kurt

    here in south korean, you can get an iphone for free with 2 year contract. why? no one wants it. people want change, not the same os and same phone year after year. and we only got the iphone 6 months after the 3gs came out